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Geopolitical Analysis, Switzerland – 22 Dec 2024 (Delayed Truncated Launch on 19 Jan 2025)
Pricey pal
As the tip of the yr approaches it appears I might be writing a report each 5 days – a lot is occurring. The explanation why I’m not releasing as many experiences as in November is that this: Final month actual occasions of strategic significance happened and our view deviated from consensus on them. This month a lot of what we’re seeing is disruptive actions – most of it organised and concerted.
Our impartial evaluation of all the present assertive and disruptive actions to this point leads us to the identical conclusion: The political forces that misplaced the US elections in November 2024 are staging a concerted effort to disrupt and, if it have been potential, to sort of sabotage the transition of energy due in January 2025. The beginning of Trump 2.0 time period must be a chaos.
It is a time to remain calm and targeted and .. to know the indicators of the instances. On this month noise and deception is rampant. We don’t need to be a part of it.
What is occurring? The Political Course of throughout one of the vital complicated transitions in 100 years.
It’s no shock to impartial analysts – In reality excessive representatives of the EU, the Democratic celebration, WEF, UN and main NGO’s said over the previous yr that these US elections are an “all or nothing” battle for the survival of our International Liberal Order. And what a few of them added was equally vital: “all the pieces is on the desk to avert Trump from succeeding”, “no matter it takes”.
Outstanding convergence of occasions – The escalation in Ukraine, the collapse of Syria, the nightly drones over the US East coast, the breaking down of financial knowledge simply after the elections, controversy over the FED and sharply rising 10 12 months Treasury Yields, the disarray in Taiwan, the talks of a brand new pandemic, the drill of strategic nuclear bombers, the dashing of the President and Vice President to the White Home .. and a lot extra are both expression of nervousness or a part of a concerted effort to disrupt the world and provides President Trump a horrible begin into his second administration.
Curiously a few of these occasions appear to be related and their well timed sequence raises questions on their randomness . We’re monitoring a few of these disruptions carefully for safety causes that certainly haven’t escaped Moscow nor Beijing . They’ve just lately raised the alert degree of their strategic armed forces. The world stays getting ready to a world confrontation and financial crises amongst Western powers.
Cause why the hundreds of individuals which might be getting ready to go away Europe and people organising a 2nd base for his or her households within the Southern hemisphere – regardless of Trump’s victory – aren’t unwise. Higher late than by no means: These with readied choices may be extra relaxed. If Trump seizes energy in accordance with plan, the EU, UK, Canada and Mexico might go into a significant disaster as they conflict with America. The worldviews of America and its allies couldn’t be additional aside, which makes an exterior risk important to maintain America in NATO. One thing the Trump Staff is nicely conscious of. European powers underestimate Washington and could be pressured to take distinctive measures to stabilise their programs. Non-public residents with web wealth and enterprise homeowners are prone to be essentially the most affected. If the EU and UK lengthen the warfare in Ukraine with out the USA, the results might be even bigger. We’re carefully monitoring the German elections , as a result of their precise end result might speed up the Capital Market Union and particular Wealth Taxes amongst different political measures in Europe.
In a nutshell, given the hardened stance of European leaders towards Trump and Musk, America’s increase might be Europe’s demise within the coming two years.
Monetary disaster and warfare: desired outcomes to derail Trump 2? The most effective methods for the enemies of Trump, Musk and RFK Jr to harm this upcoming Trump 2 administration is to comply with by in what they mentioned over the previous 14 months: organised resistance and an overlap of disruptive occasions. Wanting on the present state of the world on the geopolitical, political, macroeconomic and monetary fronts, the three occasions with essentially the most devastating impact on the onset of Trump’s second time period could be a
a) warfare escalation;
b) monetary collapse;
c) fear-instilling surprising phenomenon or occasion (watch the VIX Volatility Index)
Sadly it’s not sufficient to say “they’re simply attempting to disrupt or scare us, so I received’t concentrate”. Why? For 2 causes.
First – We’re de facto in a state of warfare with Russia and China. We have now already embargoed our enemies and introduced financial warfare on them – that’s the pre-state of open hostilities. We did one thing just like Japan earlier than WW2 and Japan attacked Pearl Harbor.
Second – Our monetary system is ..
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With all of the is converging around the globe and the Biden businesses have planted to disrupt Trump’s 2nd time period, we might face a market implosion in 2025. However we additionally see the potential for the start of a highly effective financial increase sparked by daring measures. Which one will dominate? Or will we see each?
Private Touch upon Christmas
Please – Kindly enable me to increase a private message two days earlier than Christmas. The burden of the fears burdening individuals this December requires greater than a season’s want. If the bible provides no assist at Christmas, when?
Not solely regular individuals, even defence ministers and financial institution executives have shared with me their fears and considerations in current weeks.
Whereas causes to fret abound, while you have a look at world occasions “by” the bible, you discover that all the pieces is unfolding as God foretold by His prophets within the books of Daniel, Jeremiah, Matthew, Revelation and so forth. God knew the tip from the start, so He’s in management and we will belief Him.
On this Season I hope that you will discover peace within the central determine of the Christmas story. Whereas the sight of a child in a manger is reassuring, solely the realisation, that this resurrected King is ready to re-appear on earth, conveys a peace and hope that transcend understanding. In God our future is safe. That is my unshakable supply of hope .
Thanks for graciously bearing with me.
Our greetings and greatest needs from our secure haven within the Swiss Alps.
Geopolitical Analysis Staff – 22 Dec 2024 (Delayed Truncated Launch on 19 Jan 2025)
data@geopoliticalresearch.com
Disclaimer: No data or remark must be construed as funding recommendation.
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Analysis made in Switzerland
Geopolitical and financial circumstances want shut monitoring, as a result of they will change abruptly.
No a part of this evaluation must be taken or construed as an funding advice.
data@geopoliticalresearch.com
