Accounting for gold, GDPNow for Q1 is at +0.4%.
Determine 1: GDP (black), GDPNow (crimson triangle), GDPNow adjusted for gold imports by Atlanta Fed (brown sq.), NY Fed (blue sq.), Goldman Sachs (inverted inexperienced triangle), Survey of Skilled Forecasters (mild blue), all in billion Ch.2017$ SAAR. Supply: BEA, Atlanta Fed, Philadelphia Fed, NY Fed, Goldman Sachs and authors calculations.
Right here’s the worksheet:
Supply: Higgins/Atlanta Fed.
Within the house of 1 week, the nowcast has declined by virtually 2 share factors (q/q annualized).